What Nba Games Should I Bet On Tonight
The ultimate resource to help you find the best bets each and every day in the NBA.
RAPHAEL ESPARZA is looking to dominate the Octagon tonight at UFC 259 with his 8-Unit UFC Game of the Year (11:30 p.m.). Esparza gone 4-1 +1,430 with his last five fight tickets and at UFC 258 he.
This page is divided into 3 simple sections.
NBA betting, or wagering on any sport, should come with certain rewards besides the money you get from a winning bet. Sportsbooks see how valuable their customers are and want to give back. It makes studying basketball matchup reports and trends even more important, along with watching NBA power rankings and NBA consensus betting data. If you see a high percentage of the betting public on one side of a game (or on the OVER or UNDER), it could be a good idea to bet the other way. Conference & Division Betting Guides.
The first section lists all of our premium member best bets for the day. This section lists all the games for all sports, including NBA. If you don't have a membership at Doc's Sports you can test out our premium best bets risk free with a complimentary free $60 account here.
The second section lists one or two of our complimentary NBA matchup reports. We write these daily for every single NBA game. These articles are more for the do-it-yourself types that want to really dig in and also have the time do the extensive research required each day.
The third section ties into the second section where our experts give advice on what to do with the information and how to spot a best bet in NBA.
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Washington Wizards vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, 3/10/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Tony Sink - 3/9/2021
The Washington Wizards are set to take on the Memphis Grizzlies at FedExForum on Wednesday, March 10, 2021. Washington opens this game as 1.5-point underdogs. The O/U has been set at 236.5. This matchup report includes odds, betting trends and a free pick against the spread. Read More >>
San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, 3/10/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Guy Bruhn - 3/9/2021
The San Antonio Spurs are on the docket to go head to head with the Dallas Mavericks at American Airlines Center on Wednesday, March 10, 2021. San Antonio opens this contest as 5.5-point dogs. The O/U has been set at 220.5. This report includes betting odds and our expert NBA picks for todays game. Read More >>
What Makes a Best Bet in NBA?
Here you will find a list of tips from our NBA experts that will help you understand what makes up a NBA best bet and what you should be looking for in order to spot one on your own.
DOC'S SPORTS – At Doc's Sports we consider the NBA Playoffs our specialty, and in the NBA Finals in particular we have had some incredible results lately. In the 2016 and 2017 NBA Finals we have earned nearly $5500 in profit combined for $100 bettors with a 9-2 result for 7-Unit plays during this span. For any playoff series we envision how we think the entire series will play out from game to game and then when the oddsmakers' lines differ from our vision then we attack with a large play. The bookies set their lines with the general betting public in mind and we find there are often weak lines in the NBA Finals since more dumb money is in the mix compared to a regular-season game. Sometimes a playoff series deviates from what we expect and at that point it is time to look again at the series as a whole and recalibrate your prediction for the series. It's a lot of work, but the results speak for themselves.
ROBERT FERRINGO – I always say: gambling isn't magic, it's mathematics. And if you look close enough and follow the numbers close enough the best bet situations will always present themselves. There are always motivational and situational factors to consider, particularly involving scheduling. But what takes a play from good to great is when you catch a team just begging for a statistical regression because of either exceptionally poor or exceptional outstanding shooting. Align that regression with other factors and voila, you have a big bet. An example was one of our first 7-Unit NBA Plays last year on Boston on Nov. 11. They had lost three straight games prior to taking on the Knicks. And despite being a Top 12 defensive team they had allowed their three previous opponents to shoot around 50 percent from the field and around 48 percent from 3-point range. In the meantime Boston, which was one of the highest-scoring teams in the league, was coming off a game in which they were held to just 93 points. Facing a rival, at home, looking to snap a losing streak, and due for both good offensive and defensive showings, the Celtics destroyed the Knicks 115-87 against a 5.5-point spread. That's how it's done.
INDIAN COWBOY – We have had some great success in the NBA, posting four straight winning years. One of the main things I look for are teams that recently faced each other and the line the second time they face each other. For example, last year the Warriors were -17 favorites over the Lakers and Golden State sent a clear message with a 149-106 blowout. Then two days later the Lakers and Warriors hooked up again, this time in Los Angeles, and we took the 'under'. Why? We took it because we knew that former Warriors Coach Luke Walton would undoubtedly make the necessary adjustments, appeal to the pride of his players, and make them play harder on the defensive end after giving up nearly 150 points in their previous game. See, most people think just because a game ended a certain way, it is going to be exactly that way or similar the next time around and that is not the case. Though we are big on revenge, sometimes there is an indirect revenge. In this case, the indirect revenge was the underdog play better, but the way they play better is to get better on what they were grotesquely bad at last time which was defense. The final score on November 25th was 109-85 and the Warriors won - and the game went well 'Under' the 230 which we took for a nice 3-Unit winner. Hence, when you are watching the NBA this year, look for teams that play each other again within a short span of time as it has the elements of the opposite pace it had in the first contest.
RAPHAEL ESPARZA – Betting the NBA in recent years has been weird because of the big swing in conference dominance. The public will always bet the top 3-5 teams but getting value on the not so entertaining teams like the Utah Jazz, Memphis Grizzlies, Atlanta Hawks, etc. is were you can get some value. With rules changing this year some of my stats and trends are out the window. But, again, handicapping NBA non-elite teams this year could be what makes another profitable year and even bigger for my best bets. Also look for tons of NBA teams playing at a higher pace because of how their rosters are setup and we could see tons of points scored this year in the NBA. I am a guy that loves betting totals so this could be a huge NBA season.
STRIKE POINT SPORTS – In the NBA bettors are constantly looking for an edge. It isn't the easiest sport due to players resting and the dreaded back-to-backs, or even worse, back-to-back-to-backs. Players are asked to play a lot of minutes each night and due to this teams decide to rest players and don't make it public until after gamblers have already done their research on the lines. Fear not, my friends, as there are some opportunities to take advantage of during the dog days of the NBA schedule. One such opportunity is when a teams best player doesn't play. This DNP could be due to an injury or because of rest. Many times oddsmakers will adjust a line in order to sway the public in this situation. It is important to not always just fade the team that isn't with their best player. In this spot the 'short-handed' team has value as players that aren't often given a shot to make a statement do so. A teams best player controls the basketball and a lot of times they take possessions away from other capable players. An NBA player gets time because he is good enough to make a difference. We used to love taking the Lakers when Kobe didn't play. Now, don't get us wrong, Kobe is an all-time great. But when he didn't play his teammates did their best to shine. They didn't always win, but they were always scrappy and would have plenty of value.
ALLEN EASTMAN – I think that one of the most important tips I can give to NBA bettors is to always be aware of the trends. I am a big trend player. And not just the trends that go back for one or two years. I like trends that go back five, 10 or even 12 years. There are some teams that don't play well in certain cities. Places like Utah and Portland can be horrible for opposing teams and some guys just never play well there. The more history you have the better the trend and then the stronger the play. .
JASON SHARPE – For me an NBA best bet usually involves finding a team that's going through some recent lineup changes due to injuries, trades or any other reason. For instance, if a player that is a starter gets hurt for a team and he's more of an offensive type player and he is replaced by more of a 'defensive-first' type player than I will tend to look towards betting an 'under' on this team, especially if a few other things come into play. And if more than one new player enters into the rotation that usually means I'm looking to strongly back something. The bottom line is the NBA betting market, like most professional sports leagues, is controlled by what I call 'the computer algorithm handicappers'. These guys will usually key in all the information on EACH team into their computers so each team has a game pace rating, a final score and offensive/defensive rating per possession to name a few stats that they all look at. My thinking is that these past stats for each team were accomplished when certain player(s) were on the floor and now if that team has a few different changes to who's representing them than we should expect some much different type results. The best time of the season to take advantage of these 'best bets' is usually at the beginning of the season involving a team that is using a few new players from the previous season and then again around the NBA trade deadline. Teams will quickly change the way they look and play when they have a different cast of characters on the floor. It's during this time of the season that you will see a lot of change and change is what we are looking for to get us one step ahead of the computer guys.
ALAN HARRIS – My main advice when looking for a top NBA play is do not overreact to injuries. Other than a quarterback in the NFL, a star player in the NBA has the biggest impact on a point spread. In the NBA, if LeBron James or Kevin Durant is announced out, both sharps and squares alike will run to the window with the thought that 'there's no way that team X can win without player Y.' Now, the Cavs or Warriors won't be as good long-term without those guys. But for that one game it's really not that big of a deal. The immediate thought is that the team is losing a bunch of points or rebounds but people don't take into account that yes, the backups are putting up less per game in those categories, but they are also doing it in less minutes. Also, starters will usually step up in a game where it's announced that one of the big guns will be out. We worked this strategy to perfection last season in a game between the Raptors and the Pacers. Kyle Lowry was hurt, listed as questionable, and there was a thought that he might come back that night. The overnight line opened up at the Raptors (-7) and it was announced early that Lowry wouldn't be playing. The line immediately dropped to -5 and that's where we jumped on it. What happened? DeMar DeRozan dropped 40, three other starters scored in double digits, and Delon Wright, who got some run due to the injury, chipped in with 11-2-6. Toronto wound up winning 111-100 and we wound up cashing a nice ticket on the Raptors.
VERNON CROY – When it comes to making a big play in the NBA, I look for motivation by a certain team and I also look for situational trends. How tired is the team I'm going against; did they just play three games in four nights or are they coming off a close loss against a division rival? Is the team I'm taking playing with extra rest and what is their motivation level for this game, as we have all seen teams take nights off in the NBA? I also look at the injury reports and study stats from when these teams have played in the past. Normally when there is a key player injured the books over adjust the lines leaving lots of value for taking the team with the injury, as they will pick up their game to make up for the loss of their star player. Is there a revenge factor or does a certain team play another team harder than others, or is this a letdown spot? These are just some of the several factors that go into making a big play in the NBA for me, and after 18-years I'm still adjusting my systems and analytics to be the best I can possibly be to give my clients an significant edge over the books.
TONY GEORGE – An NBA Handicapping tip I use involves scheduling and more specifically East and West Coast road swings. I like to fade teams, especially good teams towards the end of a long road trip when they are laying points. As an example, say the Cavs are playing their fifth road game in six or seven days on the West Coast. And after playing the Suns, Lakers, Clippers and Jazz, now they have lowly Sacramento. When this scenario occurs, a good team will generally be laying six or more points to their weak opponent. I like to fade them and take the points. Road weary teams play little defense down the stretch and do what they have to do to just win a game many times.
DOUG UPSTONE - The methodology I use is by starting to create a spread based on three power ratings I use. They all have various components, designed to cover different aspects of the teams in a particular contest. Next, is the statistical advantages one team might have over another, particularly at quarterback, running the ball, stopping the run and rushing the opposing quarterback. If those show up as more one-way edges and match my power rankings, I move to the next step. That would be finding systems I have developed and look to find more evidence of a special play, and specifically I'm after ones that have a 75 percent or higher cover rate and with a minimum of 30 game outcomes and the scoring average rather easily covers the spread. Up next is reviewing situational aspects, that are team specific, which often can be nuggets of extremely useful information. The cherry on the top of the cake is looking at line movement or the lack of it in the first part of the week. If the power ratings are strong, the stats are in my favor, a system or two light up, and the situation is nicely favorable on the NFL contest that is not on everyone's radar to start a week, that is what I'm looking for in a big play!
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Here you will find the best NBA picks as well as parlays for all of today's games. All of our expert NBA predictions are against the spread. (ATS) This page will be updated daily so bookmark this page.
Washington Wizards vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, 3/10/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Tony Sink - 3/9/2021
The Washington Wizards are set to take on the Memphis Grizzlies at FedExForum on Wednesday, March 10, 2021. Washington opens this game as 1.5-point underdogs. The O/U has been set at 236.5. This matchup report includes odds, betting trends and a free pick against the spread.
San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, 3/10/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Guy Bruhn - 3/9/2021
The San Antonio Spurs are on the docket to go head to head with the Dallas Mavericks at American Airlines Center on Wednesday, March 10, 2021. San Antonio opens this contest as 5.5-point dogs. The O/U has been set at 220.5. This report includes betting odds and our expert NBA picks for todays game.
Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns Prediction, 3/4/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Parlay's Pundit - 3/3/2021
The Golden State Warriors are set to take on the Phoenix Suns at Phoenix Suns Arena on Thursday, March 4, 2021. Phoenix opens this matchup as 2.5-point favorites. The total has been set at 223.5. We have included an expert NBA pick and parlay for todays game ATS.
Detroit Pistons vs New York Knicks Prediction, 3/4/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Josh Schonwald - 3/3/2021
The Detroit Pistons are on the docket to meet the New York Knicks at Madison Square Garden on Thursday, March 4, 2021. The spread on this contest has New York as 6-point favorites. The total opens at 223. This matchup report includes betting lines and our pick of the day for this game.
Sacramento Kings vs Portland Blazers Prediction, 3/4/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Tony Sink - 3/3/2021
The Sacramento Kings are scheduled to play the Portland Blazers at Moda Center on Thursday, March 4, 2021. The odds on this contest have Portland as 5-point favorites. The O/U opens at 237. This report has odds and your NBA predictions for todays game against the spread.
Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction, 3/4/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Guy Bruhn - 3/3/2021
The Miami Heat are scheduled to meet the New Orleans Pelicans at Smoothie King Center on Thursday, March 4, 2021. Miami opens this contest as 1.5-point dogs. The O/U has been set at 227. This games report has current odds, betting trends, and free picks against the spread.
Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, 3/4/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Parlay's Pundit - 3/3/2021
The Denver Nuggets are set to go head to head with the Indiana Pacers at Bankers Life Fieldhouse on Thursday, March 4, 2021. Denver opens this contest as 2.5-point favorites. The over/under opens at 225.5. We have included an expert pick and parlay for todays game against the spread.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction, 3/4/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Josh Schonwald - 3/3/2021
The Oklahoma City Thunder are on the docket to meet the San Antonio Spurs at AT&T Center on Thursday, March 4, 2021. The odds on this matchup have San Antonio as 3.5-point favorites. The over/under has been set at 225.5. This matchup report has Vegas lines and an expert NBA basketball pick for your daily winner.
Milwaukee Bucks vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, 3/4/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Tony Sink - 3/3/2021
The Milwaukee Bucks are scheduled to meet the Memphis Grizzlies at FedExForum on Thursday, March 4, 2021. Milwaukee opens this matchup as 6-point favorites. The total opens at 237. This Matchup report includes Vegas odds and a free basketball pick for tonight.
Los Angeles Clippers vs Washington Wizards Prediction, 3/4/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Guy Bruhn - 3/3/2021
The Los Angeles Clippers are on the docket to play the Washington Wizards at Capital One Arena on Thursday, March 4, 2021. The spread on this game has Los Angeles as 9.5-point favorites. The O/U opens at 231. This report includes betting odds and our expert NBA picks for todays game.
Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics Prediction, 3/4/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Tony Sink - 3/3/2021
The Toronto Raptors are scheduled to meet the Boston Celtics at TD Garden on Thursday, March 4, 2021. The odds on this contest have Boston as 8-point favorites. The over/under opens at 217. This matchup report includes odds, betting trends and a free pick against the spread.
Detroit Pistons vs Toronto Raptors Prediction, 3/3/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Tony Sink - 3/2/2021
The Detroit Pistons are on the docket to meet the Toronto Raptors at Amalie Arena on Wednesday, March 3, 2021. Detroit opens this game as 9.5-point underdogs. The O/U is set at 215. This matchup report includes odds, betting trends and a free pick against the spread.
Utah Jazz vs Philadelphia 76ers Prediction, 3/3/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Josh Schonwald - 3/2/2021
The Utah Jazz are set to take on the Philadelphia 76ers at Wells Fargo Center on Wednesday, March 3, 2021. Utah opens this matchup as 1.5-point favorites. The O/U is set at 223. This matchup report includes betting lines and our pick of the day for this game.
Charlotte Hornets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, 3/3/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Guy Bruhn - 3/2/2021
The Charlotte Hornets are scheduled to play the Minnesota Timberwolves at Target Center on Wednesday, March 3, 2021. The line on this contest has Charlotte as 2.5-point favorites. The O/U has been set at 227. This games report has current odds, betting trends, and free picks against the spread.
Chicago Bulls vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction, 3/3/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Josh Schonwald - 3/2/2021
The Chicago Bulls are set to meet the New Orleans Pelicans at Smoothie King Center on Wednesday, March 3, 2021. The spread on this contest has New Orleans as 5-point favorites. The O/U is set at 236. This matchup report has Vegas lines and an expert NBA basketball pick for your daily winner.
Atlanta Hawks vs Orlando Magic Prediction, 3/3/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Tony Sink - 3/2/2021
The Atlanta Hawks are on the docket to play the Orlando Magic at Amway Center on Wednesday, March 3, 2021. Atlanta opens this contest as 4.5-point favorites. The over/under has been set at 224. This Matchup report includes Vegas odds and a free basketball pick for tonight.
Los Angeles Lakers vs Sacramento Kings Prediction, 3/3/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Guy Bruhn - 3/2/2021
The Los Angeles Lakers are set to play the Sacramento Kings at Golden 1 Center on Wednesday, March 3, 2021. The odds on this contest have Los Angeles as 6.5-point favorites. The over/under has been set at 231. This game report has an NBA basketball pick, betting odds, and trends for tonights key matchup.
Brooklyn Nets vs Houston Rockets Prediction, 3/3/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Parlay's Pundit - 3/2/2021
The Brooklyn Nets are on the docket to take on the Houston Rockets at Toyota Center on Wednesday, March 3, 2021. Houston opens this matchup as 7.5-point underdogs. The total opens at 233. We have included an expert pick and parlay for todays game against the spread.
Golden State Warriors vs Portland Blazers Prediction, 3/3/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Tony Sink - 3/2/2021
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The Golden State Warriors are on the docket to meet the Portland Blazers at Moda Center on Wednesday, March 3, 2021. Portland opens this game as 1-point dogs. The over/under is set at 235. This report has odds and your NBA predictions for todays game against the spread.
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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, 3/3/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Parlay's Pundit - 3/2/2021
The Oklahoma City Thunder are on the docket to go head to head with the Dallas Mavericks at American Airlines Center on Wednesday, March 3, 2021. Dallas opens this contest as 8.5-point favorites. The O/U has been set at 222. We have included an expert NBA pick and parlay for todays game ATS.
1 234567891011 ... 453 Next >>Please note that the NBA picks above for tonight's games are not computer based picks. All of these articles are written by our talented staff. If you have any comments or suggestions please email service@docsports.com
NBA Picks
The NBA is considered by many to be the best league for sports betting. Yes, the NFL is king in terms of popularity and wagering volume per game but nothing beats NBA basketball over the course of a season. Why? There are many opportunities to make NBA picks every night. NBA lines move more often and are not as sharp as football lines which are under the microscope all week. NBA odds have a much shorter lifespan meaning there are greater opportunities to find value. That gives Doc's basketball handicappers exponentially more opportunities to offer daily free NBA picks and be even more selective when offering expert NBA picks.
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You can find Free NBA picks throughout the Doc's Sports network including this free NBA predictions page; on our Doc's NBA Experts page; and on the Youtube channels of our expert NBA handicappers. We now also have a very popular NBA video section that is updated daily with several videos during the NBA season. Check the video link on the top navigation. Those ready to take advantage of our Free $60 in member selections can click the button at the top of this page and start receiving free expert predictions.
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Doc's offers expert NBA picks today and every day of the NBA season! Sure, there are the days when the NBA card consists of only tanking teams competing for the right to draft the next Zion Williamson. These teams are bad and their competition for an audience is Seinfeld reruns or maybe getting an extra hour of sleep. At Doc's we don't see this as trash basketball, we see this as a huge opportunity to make money...on trash basketball. Each day during the basketball season is an opportunity to make valuable and profitable predictions
NBA Picks Against the Spread
Most NBA bettors are going to make NBA picks against the spread. This is also known as NBA picks ATS. Sportsbooks give each NBA team a handicap of X amount of points. That means if books think the Lakers are 4 points better than the Celtics they will offer a line of Lakers -4. If a Doc's handicapper has reason to believe the Lakers are much more than 4 points better, his pick against the spread would be to take the Lakers -4. This is how all bets on the spread work unless bookmakers consider both teams to be evenly matched, in which case the line is a pick, AKA pick'em. At Doc's the majority of our NBA selections are against the spread. However, there can be outstanding value on betting NBA totals.
NBA Over/Under Picks
The pace of the game, as well as which team dictates the pace, is a key factor when handicapping basketball games. When pace is an especially strong signal, it may dictate a pick on the over/under. An NBA over/under pick is another way of referring to a prediction on an NBA game point total. NBA total lines are usually well above 200 in today's NBA making them harder for the betting public to find value. For example, the 2004 Detroit Pistons team was very consistently within 5 points of the 90 they averaged. In today's NBA, greater scoring means greater variance. However, professional basketball handicappers can use this to their advantage as the sportsbooks also try to keep track of the higher scoring NBA totals. Doc's sports NBA total picks are some of the best in the business and our total prediction write-ups are insightful. Along with offering our NBA expert picks, we provide free selections that are intended to help bettors with their handicapping legwork.
NBA Parlay Picks
Parlay picks are sucker bets they say! Never bet and NBA parlay they say! Bettors that speak in these absolutes clearly haven't learned how to find value betting basketball. Sure, the payout on parlays at most sportsbooks have gone down to the point where putting two of your picks together for the sake of winning more is not a good investment. But what if your parlay picks could be made on the same game? That is called a correlated NBA parlay. Many sportsbooks offer the ability to make NBA bets against the spread and total in the same game. So if you have a great read on a game and expect one team to quit and fall behind, you may decide to make an NBA parlay prediction. At Doc's our experts will offer a free parlay pick in rare cases. It is not common because we need to find value for our customers on both lines before they move. If our parlay prediction is indeed on the same game, we need to confirm there is value regardless of the fact that you can't line shop the odds on a parlay. Both bets in a parlay must be made at the same sportsbook. If there is a free selection on the total over of -14 and under 200 it was offered knowing that those lines can be found at most Las Vegas sportsbooks and online.
NBA Playoff Predictions
Once the regular season is over the NBA tends to resemble the national football league in many ways. Bettors have much more time to make their NBA playoff picks as teams travel to each other's arenas and rest between series. Making successful NBA playoff predictions is as much about when you bet as it is who you bet on. A series might not start for days. That means an NBA spread may move quite a few points especially as the public bets closer to the action. If we see value in a playoff prediction it will rely heavily on getting the line we are quoting in said NBA pick. In the words of the great Tony George, 'We are betting numbers, not teams!' That may not be more relevant than when making picks on the NBA playoff games.
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